Forecaster

    Texas Health & Human Services Commission
    4900 N LAMAR BLVD, AUSTIN, TX
    Full-time
    Similar jobs pay $11.64 - $27.59

    Job Description


    Actuary I

    At HHSC, we strive to make a difference in the lives of our fellow citizens. We need your sound actuarial, statistical, and scientific judgment, and your ability to make logical decisions and recommendations to the team.

    The Actuary I (Forecaster) plays an important role on the Health and Human Services Forecasting Team, with assignments ranging from forecasting to providing critical support of forecasting for various HHS programs, including Medicaid Acute/Long-Term Services and Supports, Vendor Drug, Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP), or Temporary Assistance to Needy Families (TANF).

    Working with other forecasters and HHS program staff and team members, the Forecaster will perform complex and informative statistical and research functions with moderate supervision from the Team Lead. The Forecaster is responsible for the initial run of all forecasts from their area and will verify and maintain the integrity of data used in forecasting and reporting for their area. The Forecaster position requires moderate judgment, with moderate latitude to make recommendations on data issues and forecasts. The successful candidate will balance sound actuarial, statistical, and scientific judgment with logical decisions to make recommendations to the team.

    Essential Job Functions:
    Under the direction of the manager/team lead, the Forecaster develops complex statistical models, such as time series models, using SAS, Autobox, Excel or other software to forecast HHS programs and evaluate the performance of such models (40%). The Forecaster also provides reports to management, the Legislative Budget Board, and others, on a monthly or quarterly basis, on the performance of models, as well as trends seen in the data (20%), and performs ad-hoc queries and runs simulations on request (20%). The Forecaster tracks and monitors data and forecasts for trends and performance (15%) Other duties as assigned (5%).

    Knowledge Skills Abilities:
    1. Knowledge of scientific research methods and statistical concepts.
    2. Knowledge of statistical software (such as SAS or R).
    3. Knowledge of Microsoft Excel, including linking multiple worksheets and use of pivot tables.
    4. Ability to query and analyze large data sets.

    Registration or Licensure Requirements:

    Initial Selection Criteria:
    1. Graduation from a 4-year college or university with major coursework in a social science, business, statistical, mathematical or related field.
    2. Experience with statistical software (such as SAS or R) and/or forecasting software (such as Autobox).
    3. Experience with Microsoft Excel, Microsoft Access, and SQL.
    4. Knowledge of public policy or health care policy (such as Texas Medicaid).

    Additional Information:
    Requisition # 452374
    In compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), HHS agencies will provide reasonable accommodation during the hiring and selection process for qualified individuals with a disability. If you need assistance completing the on-line application, contact the AccessHR service center at 1-888-894-4747. If you are contacted for an interview and need accommodation to participate in the interview process, please notify the person scheduling the interview.

    MOS Code:
    There are no direct military occupation(s) that relate to the responsibilities, and registration or licensure requirements for this position. All active duty, reservists, guardsmen, and veterans are encouraged to apply if they meet the qualifications for this position.

    HHS agencies use E-Verify. You must bring your I-9 documentation with you on your first day of work.

    I-9 Form - Click here to download the I-9 form.

    In compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), HHS agencies will provide reasonable accommodation during the hiring and selection process for qualified individuals with a disability. If you need assistance completing the on-line application, contact the HHS Employee Service Center at 1-888-894-4747. If you are contacted for an interview and need accommodation to participate in the interview process, please notify the person scheduling the interview.

    Posting ID: 556640593Posted: 2020-05-21